{"id":146875,"date":"2020-09-01T02:11:47","date_gmt":"2020-09-01T09:11:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?p=146875"},"modified":"2020-09-01T11:10:58","modified_gmt":"2020-09-01T18:10:58","slug":"tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/","title":{"rendered":"Kentucky Derby 146: How Low Will Tiz the Law&#8217;s Odds Go After Tuesday&#8217;s Post Draw?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Barring any last-minute changes, it appears a field of 18 will enter Saturday\u2019s Kentucky Derby. On Tuesday morning, post positions will be drawn for the 146th running of the premier horse race for 3-year-olds, and regardless of where he ends up, Tiz the Law will be the commanding morning-line favorite once Churchill Downs officials complete the pill pull.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_146876\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-146876\" data-style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-146876\" src=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476.png\" alt=\"Tiz the Law Kentucky Derby\" width=\"1200\" height=\"637\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476.png 810w, https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476-142x75.png 142w, https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476-768x408.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><figcaption  id=\"caption-attachment-146876\"class=\"text-description\">Tiz the Law, seen here in a workout Saturday morning at Saratoga Race Course in New York, will likely be one of the lowest-price Kentucky Derby favorites in recent memory. (Image: Susie Raisher\/<em>NYRA<\/em>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Ed DeRosa, a handicapper for <em>TwinSpires.com<\/em>, said he expects the Barclay Tagg-trained colt to be the lowest-price morning-line favorite in nearly three decades. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/after-great-travers-run-tiz-the-law-likely-to-be-heavy-kentucky-derby-favorite\/\">Tiz the Law<\/a> has raced four times this year, all graded stakes races, and he\u2019s hit the wire first in each of them. <strong>DeRosa forecasts Tiz the Law to be the 7-5 favorite, which would be the largest favorite since Arazi in 1992.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Arazi started at 6-5 and was bet down to 4-5 by race time, the last Derby favorite to go off at less than even-money odds. The colt didn\u2019t live up to the hype as he finished eighth.<\/p>\n<p>DeRosa doesn\u2019t expect Tiz the Law, who won the Belmont Stakes in June, to match Arazi\u2019s fate.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"main-blockquote\"><p><strong>Tiz The Law is virtually bomb-proof and only bad luck is going to stand in the way of him and a Derby victory,\u201d<\/strong> the handicapper said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The draw begins at 11 a.m. ET Tuesday. Fox Sports 2 will air the event live nationally.<\/p>\n<h2>Finding Value in Art<\/h2>\n<p>Interestingly, DeRosa,\u00a0 in ranking the Kentucky Derby contenders on his Twitter page, actually ranked Tiz the Law second among his Derby contenders behind Art Collector, a late-emerging horse to the Derby scene who also is 4-for-4 this year.<\/p>\n<p>DeRosa told <em>Casino.org<\/em> over the weekend that the colt, trained by Tommy Drury, presents a better value, odds-wise. He forecasts morning-line odds for Art Collector and Honor A. P. at 8-1. No other horse on DeRosa projected board is lower than 10-1.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"main-blockquote\"><p>I do think Tiz is the most likely winner, but at their likely prices, I think Art Collector is the better bet,\u201d DeRosa said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>UPDATE (8:50 am ET 9\/1) &#8211; Marty McGee of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DRFMcGee\/status\/1300776876852555777\"><em>The Daily Racing Form<\/em><\/a> reports Art Collector will not race in the Kentucky Derby. DeRosa&#8217;s updated morning-line projections are below.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In a workout, Saturday at New York&#8217;s Saratoga Race Course, where he won the Travers Stakes last month, Tiz the Law breezed five furlongs in 59.21.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;He came back well,\u201d Tagg said. \u201cIt may have been a little faster than he needed to go, but the track was very fast, too. It went perfect.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The horses, with DeRosa\u2019s projected odds, expected to be entered into the 1-1\/4-mile Derby are (jockey\u2019s name in parentheses): <strong>Tiz the Law<\/strong> 4-5 (Manny Franco); <strong>Authentic<\/strong> 8-1 (John Velazquez); <strong>Honor A. P.<\/strong> 6-1 (Mike Smith); <strong>Ny Traffic<\/strong> 20-1 (Paco Lopez); <strong>King Guillermo<\/strong> 20-1 (Samy Camacho); <strong>Thousand Words<\/strong> 15-1 (Florent Geroux); <a href=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/bettors-and-investors-take-stock-of-max-player-entering-saturdays-travers-stakes\/\"><strong>Max Player<\/strong><\/a> 15-1 (Ricardo Santana Jr.); <strong>Enforceable<\/strong> 50-1 (Adam Beschizza); <strong>Major Fed<\/strong> 30-1 (James Graham); <strong>Storm the Court<\/strong> 50-1 (Julien Leparoux); <strong>Attachment Rate<\/strong> 50-1 (Joe Talamo); <strong>Sole Volante<\/strong> 50-1 (Luca Panici); <strong>Finnick the Fierce<\/strong> 50-1 (Martin Garcia); <strong>Winning Impression<\/strong> 50-1 (Joe Rocco Jr.); <strong>Necker Island<\/strong> 40-1 (Miguel Mena); <strong>Mr. Big News<\/strong> 50-1 (Gabriel Saez); <strong>Money Moves<\/strong> 30-1 (Javier Castellano).<\/p>\n<p>Tiz the Law is expected to arrive in Louisville on Tuesday. Ny Traffic and Money Moves are expected to make the flight with the presumptive Derby favorite.<\/p>\n<h2>Gamine Favorite After Oaks Draw Monday<\/h2>\n<p>On Monday, Churchill Downs held the draw for Friday\u2019s Kentucky Oaks, a top race for 3-year-old fillies. The race will likely shape up as a contest between two horses Gamine, trained by Bob Baffert, and Swiss Skydiver, who finished second in the Kentucky Derby prep Blue Grass Stakes to Art Collector.<\/p>\n<div class=\"callout\">\n<p><strong>In the nine-horse field, Gamine drew post five, and oddsmakers installed her as the morning-line favorite with even-money odds. The filly has won her last two races, both stakes races, by a combined 25-3\/4 lengths.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u201cBeing in the middle is always good,\u201d Baffert said. \u201cRight now, the most important thing is that she ships well, that she relaxes, gets in there and breaks well. She\u2019s training really well. We still have a few more hurdles, I\u2019m happy with that spot.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Swiss Skydiver got the inside gate and is the second choice at 8-5. Trained by Kenny McPeek, she\u2019s won her last four races against fillies, the last being the Alabama Stakes at Saratoga. That race went 1-1\/4 miles, where the Oaks will go just 1-1\/8 miles.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019d rather have the one than the nine,\u201d McPeek said about the draw. \u201cIt\u2019s out of my hands. We\u2019ll just let Tyler (Gaffalione) do his thing. He\u2019s a great jock. We\u2019ll probably just let her run into the first turn.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Barring any last-minute changes, it appears a field of 18 will enter Saturday\u2019s Kentucky Derby. On Tuesday morning, post positions will be drawn for the 146th running of the premier horse race for 3-year-olds, and regardless of where he ends up, Tiz the Law will be the commanding morning-line favorite once Churchill Downs officials complete [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":146876,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14577,16],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Tiz the Law to be Heavy Favorite After Tuesday Kentucky Derby Post Draw<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Barclay Tagg-trained Tiz the Law may be the lowest-price morning-line Kentucky Derby favorite in nearly 30 years.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tiz the Law to be Heavy Favorite After Tuesday Kentucky Derby Post Draw\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Barclay Tagg-trained Tiz the Law may be the lowest-price morning-line Kentucky Derby favorite in nearly 30 years.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Casino.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Casino.OrgNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-09-01T09:11:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-09-01T18:10:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"810\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"430\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Steve Bittenbender\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Casino_Org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@Casino_Org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Steve Bittenbender\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/\",\"name\":\"Tiz the Law to be Heavy Favorite After Tuesday Kentucky Derby Post Draw\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-09-01T09:11:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-09-01T18:10:58+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/eb30e765d812fc9b38b333f8d13068b2\"},\"description\":\"The Barclay Tagg-trained Tiz the Law may be the lowest-price morning-line Kentucky Derby favorite in nearly 30 years.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Tiz_Morning_810x430_SR.80da098c5bf307724b249cb505f8e476.png\",\"width\":810,\"height\":430,\"caption\":\"Tiz the Law, seen here in a workout Saturday morning at Saratoga Race Course in New York, will likely be one of the lowest-price Kentucky Derby favorites in recent memory. 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(Image: Susie Raisher\/NYRA)"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/tiz-the-law-to-be-heavy-favorite-after-tuesday-kentucky-derby-post-draw\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"News","item":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Sports Betting","item":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/sportsbetting\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Horse Racing","item":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/sportsbetting\/horse-racing\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"name":"Kentucky Derby 146: How Low Will Tiz the Law&#8217;s Odds Go After Tuesday&#8217;s Post Draw?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/","name":"Casino.org","description":"Latest Casino and Gaming News","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/eb30e765d812fc9b38b333f8d13068b2","name":"Steve Bittenbender","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cropped-7-1-96x96.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cropped-7-1-96x96.png","caption":"Steve Bittenbender"},"description":"Steve Bittenbender covers Midwest and Gulport news for Casino.org. 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