{"id":150182,"date":"2020-09-26T13:03:37","date_gmt":"2020-09-26T20:03:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?p=150182"},"modified":"2020-09-27T10:57:43","modified_gmt":"2020-09-27T17:57:43","slug":"reports-indicate-barrett-trumps-pick-for-supreme-court-bettors-believe-confirmation-vote-happens-before-election-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/reports-indicate-barrett-trumps-pick-for-supreme-court-bettors-believe-confirmation-vote-happens-before-election-day\/","title":{"rendered":"Reports Indicate Barrett is Trump’s Pick for Supreme Court, Bettors Believe Confirmation Vote Happens Before Election Day"},"content":{"rendered":"

Amy Coney Barrett will be President Trump\u2019s pick to fill the Supreme Court seat vacated by the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. That\u2019s according to media reports that started circulating Friday evening.<\/p>\n

\"Barrett
Amy Coney Barrett, seen here in 2017 when she was nominated for a federal appeals judge post, may come before the Senate again in the coming weeks, but this time as a Supreme Court nominee. (Image: CSPAN)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Trump is expected to announce his Supreme Court<\/a> nominee late Saturday afternoon, but the trading market on PredictIt is already moving toward the 48-year-old federal appellate court judge. Shares on her as the nominee ended the day at 96 cents, with more than 565,000 shares traded.<\/p>\n

By 2:45 pm ET Saturday, shares were at 97 cents. PredictIt pays out correct market picks at $1 per share.<\/p>\n

\n

Barrett\u2019s conservative bona fides are well established. She served as a clerk for late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia shortly after graduating from Notre Dame Law School. According to ScotusBlog.com, she\u2019s also been a member of the Federalist Society on at least two occasions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

She\u2019s been on the US 7th Circuit Appeals Court since late 2017. While she received some bipartisan support in the Senate for that post, it\u2019s unlikely Barrett<\/a> will get any Democratic support this time around.<\/p>\n

Trading Available on When Barrett SCOTUS Vote Happens<\/h2>\n

The question now becomes when the Senate will vote to confirm Barrett.<\/p>\n

While some have called out Republicans for the move, especially in comparison to the Merrick Garland nomination that withered for most of 2016 after Scalia\u2019s death, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell<\/a> has said there\u2019s a clear distinction between what happened four years ago and now.<\/p>\n

Americans re-elected our majority in 2016 and expanded it in 2018 because we pledge to work with President Trump and support his agenda, particularly his outstanding appointments to the federal judiciary,\u201d the Kentucky Republican said last week in a statement. \u201cOnce again, we will keep our promise.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

On Monday, PredictIt established a market for when the Senate will vote on the next nominee. Shares for before the Nov. 3 general election slowly climbed through the week, going from 65 cents on Monday to 80 cents Friday, with most of the trading taking place early in the week.<\/p>\n

Shares dipped a little Saturday afternoon, trading 78 cents. Shares for Nov. 3 to Jan. 2 were trading at 16 cents, while shares for Jan. 3-19 were 2 cents, and on or after Jan. 20, the presidential Inauguration Day, were at 5 cents.<\/p>\n

Smarkets Offers Similar Odds in UK<\/h2>\n

PredictIt is the only legal market in the US for political trading. However, political betting in Great Britain and other countries is legal, and those jurisdictions are taking wagers on the Supreme Court pick.<\/p>\n

British-based Smarkets has halted trading on who the nominee will be, with odds on Barrett at -5000, which means a $5,000 bet would net $100 in winnings. Those odds also equal an implied probability of 98 percent.<\/p>\n

Smarkets is still accepting bets on its trading portal for when the next justice will be sworn. Odds on that happening before Nov. 2 are at -323, while a swearing in ceremony between Nov. 3 and Jan. 19 is trading at +245. After Jan. 20, shares are at +1050.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Amy Coney Barrett will be President Trump\u2019s pick to fill the Supreme Court seat vacated by the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. That\u2019s according to media reports that started circulating Friday evening. Trump is expected to announce his Supreme Court nominee late Saturday afternoon, but the trading market on PredictIt is already moving toward the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":150187,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,61],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nReports Indicate Trump to Pick Barrett for Supreme Court<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Amy Comey Barrett will be President Trump's next nominee for the US Supreme Court and bettors think the Senate will soon vote to confirm her.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Reports Indicate Trump to Pick Barrett for Supreme Court\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Amy Comey Barrett will be 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