{"id":97724,"date":"2019-02-05T06:27:53","date_gmt":"2019-02-05T14:27:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?p=97724"},"modified":"2019-02-05T06:27:53","modified_gmt":"2019-02-05T14:27:53","slug":"donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/","title":{"rendered":"President Donald Trump State of the Union Address Fuels Online Prop Betting"},"content":{"rendered":"

The specifics of President Donald Trump’s State of the Union (SOTU) address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as internet bookmakers offer up a smorgasbord of prop betting markets.<\/p>\n

\"Donald
Tonight’s State of the Union should again be a theatrical performance from President Donald Trump. (Image: Win McNamee\/Getty)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Gambling on political events is predominantly illegal in the US. One exception is PredictIt, an online exchange where bettors buy and sell shares of political outcomes.<\/p>\n

\n

PredictIt has several SOTU markets. They include:<\/p>\n

Will Trump mention “fake news” in SOTU? Yes 16 cents, No 84 cents<\/p>\n

Viewership for SOTU? “42.4 million or fewer” is the favorite at 39 cents<\/p>\n

Will Trump mention Russia in SOTU? Yes 67 cents, No 33 cents<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

PredictIt operates in the US<\/a> under a “no-action relief” from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Market Oversight. Research compiled by PredictIt is made openly available to an array of research partners. Winning shares are paid at $1 each.<\/p>\n

The SOTU was originally scheduled for January 29, but as a result of the federal government shutdown, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D) postponed the address.<\/p>\n

As for the 2020 presidential election, PredictIt has the incumbent Trump the favorite at 30 cents. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-California) is next at 16 cents, and former VP Joe Biden (D) third at 12 cents.<\/p>\n

Trump Odds<\/b><\/h2>\n

PredictIt sticks to serious matters, but other online sportsbooks venture into more controversial \u2013 and sometimes downright silly \u2013 prop bets.<\/p>\n

Online sportsbook<\/a> BetDSI has a laundry list of State of the Union novelty lines.<\/p>\n

There are some serious offerings: Who will President Trump mention first in his remarks? Vice President Mike Pence is the favorite at +150, while Pelosi (D) has the longest odds at +800.\u00a0Oddsmakers believe the president will sport a red tie (+300), while First Lady Melania Trump will wear a blue dress (+400).<\/strong><\/p>\n

Then there’s the comical lines.<\/p>\n

\n

If President Trump says “Rep. Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez (D-New York),” will he mispronounce the name? Yes is at -200, and No +150, which means oddsmakers believe he will indeed mispronounce the freshman congresswoman’s name should he say it.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Pelosi is also the subject of prop betting, as online site Bovada asks if the president will use a nickname to reference the speaker. The sportsbooks believe that’s a small chance, as No -2500 is the heavy favorite.<\/p>\n

Gamblers can also predict whether the president will say “wall” or “huge” more during the speech. “Wall” is the favorite at -400, and “huge the underdog at +300.<\/p>\n

What to Expect<\/b><\/h2>\n

Officials with the Trump administration tell reporters to expect a message of unity Tuesday night. It’s a stark contrast from what’s been happening in DC over the last several months.<\/p>\n

\n

The primary issue will be the southern border wall, which prompted last month’s government shutdown. Trump is demanding more than $5 billion, but congressional Democrats aren’t giving in.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

The refusal of both sides to compromise led to a 35-day partial government shutdown that affected roughly 800,000 federal employees. Tuesday will be the president’s first SOTU where Pelosi and the Democrats will occupy the House speakership directly behind where the commander-in-chief will address congress and the nation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The specifics of President Donald Trump’s State of the Union (SOTU) address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as internet bookmakers offer up a smorgasbord of prop betting markets. Gambling on political events is predominantly illegal in the US. One exception is PredictIt, an online exchange where bettors buy and sell shares of political outcomes. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":97727,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,19853,61,1074],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPresident Donald Trump SOTU Address Fuels Online Prop Betting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The specifics of President Donald Trump's State of the Union address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as online bookmakers offer a smorgasbord of props.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"President Donald Trump SOTU Address Fuels Online Prop Betting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The specifics of President Donald Trump's State of the Union address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as online bookmakers offer a smorgasbord of props.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Casino.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Casino.OrgNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-02-05T14:27:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"3450\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"2376\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Devin O'Connor\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@CasinoorgDevinO\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@Casino_Org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Devin O'Connor\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/\",\"name\":\"President Donald Trump SOTU Address Fuels Online Prop Betting\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-02-05T14:27:53+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-02-05T14:27:53+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/02b4fee8814a4003903b0021bffb4ebf\"},\"description\":\"The specifics of President Donald Trump's State of the Union address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as online bookmakers offer a smorgasbord of props.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg\",\"width\":3450,\"height\":2376,\"caption\":\"Tonight's State of the Union should again be a theatrical performance from President Donald Trump. (Image: Win McNamee\/Getty)\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"News\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Politics\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/politics\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"President Donald Trump State of the Union Address Fuels Online Prop Betting\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/\",\"name\":\"Casino.org\",\"description\":\"Latest Casino and Gaming News\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/02b4fee8814a4003903b0021bffb4ebf\",\"name\":\"Devin O'Connor\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cropped-4-1-96x96.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cropped-4-1-96x96.png\",\"caption\":\"Devin O'Connor\"},\"description\":\"Devin O'Connor is a senior reporter for Casino.org, covering politics, casino business, entertainment and gaming news on the East Coast. Devin's passion for politics and background in the world of pop culture television gives him insight into the gaming industry backstories that often drive news these days. After graduating from Penn State University with a theater arts degree, he worked at MTV Networks\/Viacom from 2005 to 2010 as a writer and producer. His credits included Total Request Live, New Year's Eve specials, and a special featuring poker superstar Daniel Negreanu. He later moved on to the HGTV\/DIY Network, where he created, wrote, and produced three series specials: That's So House Hunters, That's So 80s, and That's So 90s. Devin came on board with Casino.org in 2014. He lives in Pennsylvania and is an avid marathoner, having completed 15 races. Contact Devin at devin.oconnor@casino.org.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/devinoconnor\/\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/CasinoorgDevinO\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/author\/devin-oconnor\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"President Donald Trump SOTU Address Fuels Online Prop Betting","description":"The specifics of President Donald Trump's State of the Union address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as online bookmakers offer a smorgasbord of props.","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow"},"og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"President Donald Trump SOTU Address Fuels Online Prop Betting","og_description":"The specifics of President Donald Trump's State of the Union address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as online bookmakers offer a smorgasbord of props.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/","og_site_name":"Casino.org","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Casino.OrgNews","article_published_time":"2019-02-05T14:27:53+00:00","og_image":[{"width":3450,"height":2376,"url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Devin O'Connor","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@CasinoorgDevinO","twitter_site":"@Casino_Org","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Devin O'Connor","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/","url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/","name":"President Donald Trump SOTU Address Fuels Online Prop Betting","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg","datePublished":"2019-02-05T14:27:53+00:00","dateModified":"2019-02-05T14:27:53+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/02b4fee8814a4003903b0021bffb4ebf"},"description":"The specifics of President Donald Trump's State of the Union address tonight will be heavily wagered on, as online bookmakers offer a smorgasbord of props.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/gettyimages-912423740.jpg","width":3450,"height":2376,"caption":"Tonight's State of the Union should again be a theatrical performance from President Donald Trump. (Image: Win McNamee\/Getty)"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/donald-trump-state-of-the-union-address-fuels-prop-betting\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"News","item":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Politics","item":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/politics\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"President Donald Trump State of the Union Address Fuels Online Prop Betting"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/","name":"Casino.org","description":"Latest Casino and Gaming News","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/02b4fee8814a4003903b0021bffb4ebf","name":"Devin O'Connor","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cropped-4-1-96x96.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/cropped-4-1-96x96.png","caption":"Devin O'Connor"},"description":"Devin O'Connor is a senior reporter for Casino.org, covering politics, casino business, entertainment and gaming news on the East Coast. Devin's passion for politics and background in the world of pop culture television gives him insight into the gaming industry backstories that often drive news these days. After graduating from Penn State University with a theater arts degree, he worked at MTV Networks\/Viacom from 2005 to 2010 as a writer and producer. His credits included Total Request Live, New Year's Eve specials, and a special featuring poker superstar Daniel Negreanu. He later moved on to the HGTV\/DIY Network, where he created, wrote, and produced three series specials: That's So House Hunters, That's So 80s, and That's So 90s. Devin came on board with Casino.org in 2014. He lives in Pennsylvania and is an avid marathoner, having completed 15 races. Contact Devin at devin.oconnor@casino.org.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/devinoconnor\/","https:\/\/x.com\/CasinoorgDevinO"],"url":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/author\/devin-oconnor\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97724"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97724"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97724\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97727"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}